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This study investigates usefulness of business tendency surveys in industrial sector for out-of-sample prediction of growth of industrial production in Russia. A special attention is paid to performance of survey-augmented models during the recent Great Recession 2008/2009. Using the real-time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009557735
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009729803
Negative demand dynamics registered in early 2019 has not so far told on the output, estimates of finished products stocks and industrial enterprises forecasts. The industrial sector preserves optimism of expectations regarding demand, output and employment. However, the investment plans began...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889733
2017 has been marked as a year of slow recovery from the crisis of 2015–2016 in the Russian industry. The years of crisis were distinguished by three characteristics. First, there was no plunge in demand for industrial products and in output. Second, a moderate decline in these indicators was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941066
The Russian industry has enough production capacity, according to data for 2018– 2019. More than 90% of producers have enough – or, in some cases, even more than enough – production capacity to meet the demand they expect. Not more than 10% of industrial enterprises are now faced with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012868307