The paper presents early research on problems that make an application of the basic SIR-model of epidemiology difficult for short- and medium-run policy. The model essentially generalizes the simple SIR model in two respects. First, it generalizes the relation n_t = βY_t to account for the...

How much and when should we limit economic and social activity to ensure that the health-care system is not overwhelmed during an epidemic? We study a setting where ICU resources are constrained while suppression is costly (e.g., limiting economic interaction). Providing a fully analytical...