The novel Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a global pandemic that has infected at least 1.2 million people and … caused more than 67,000 deaths worldwide. The Philippines has recorded 3,764 confirmed cases and 177 deaths as of April 7 … to limit population movement and curb the spread of the epidemic. Based on our disease transmission model, we project …

) to evaluate the effects of vaccinations and variants on the epidemic and macroeconomic outlook. Vaccination plays the …, increasing the volatility of epidemic curves and worsening the macroeconomic outlook. If a more contagious variant emerges after …