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inflation rates of Turkey and propose a new weighting scheme, the time-varying simple weighting method. Our guiding principle … prospective credibility of the inflation-targeting regime of the central bank of the Republic of Turkey …
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This paper analyzes the efficacy of SARIMA models in view of forecasting the inflation rates in the Turkish economy. We perform rigorous tests on the stationarity and show that seasonality in the Turkish inflation rate is both deterministic and stochastic in nature, with the latter form...
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