-maturity default-free bonds. The volatility of the long end of the term structure and its relationship with monetary policy are …, specifically stochastic volatility models combined with Epstein-Zin recursive utility, can account for such patterns. We study the … properties of the yield curve when inflation is an exogenous process and compare this to the yield curve when inflation is …

that the relative equity and bond yield values are, to a large extent, driven by inflation volatility. High inflation … benign inflation volatility when the bond yield became higher. Evidence for a long span of US data, and shorter German … this, put forward the view that stock and bond return volatility is key. Evidence from the 2000s suggest that the relative …

Theory predicts that the equilibrium real interest rate, r*t, and the perceived trend in inflation, ð*t, are key …*t substantially increases the accuracy of long-range interest rate forecasts, helps predict excess bond returns, improves estimates of …

This paper examines the relation between variations in perceived inflation uncertainty and bond premia. Using the …-based ex-post measures of macroeconomic risk. Inflation uncertainty is an important driver of bond premia, but the relation … average individual uncertainty about inflation forecasts since 1968. We show that this ex-ante measure of inflation …

cyclical movements in Treasury bond premia. Downward nominal rigidities create state-dependence in output and inflation … dynamics: a higher level of inflation makes prices more flexible, leading output and inflation to be more volatile, and bonds … to become more risky. The model matches well the relation between the level of inflation and a number of salient macro …