The Gibson paradox,long observed by economists and named by John Maynard Keynes (1936),is a positive relationship between the interest rate and the price level. This paper explains the relationship by means of interest-rate, cost-push inflation.In the mode,spending is driven in part by changes...

This paper extends Galí and Gertler’s (1999) new hybrid KeynesianPhillips curve to the open economy context. We hypothesise that pricing decisionsdepend on both labour costs and intermediate imported input prices. The results forHong Kong are consistent with the theory if import prices are...

The early stages of recovery from the recession induced by the COVID-19 pandemic have been accompanied by a marked increase in inflation in the US and elsewhere. Much has been made of this outcomes, and the economic distress associated with it, in popular discussion of the economy. This paper...

The post-pandemic surge in inflation was accompanied by a surge in the corporate share of profits. As a result, several economists and policy makers have given to it names such as "profit-led inflation" or "sellers' inflation." The present paper discusses the extent to which profit-led...

Using the model proposed in Krugman and Taylor's "Contractionary effects of devaluation" (1978), we examine what macroeconomic effects of shocks to foreign prices. We show that these shocks can be contractionary for two reasons: (i) because they imply a loss of income if an economy has a trade...

In this paper, we analyze the relationship between nominal and real GDP growth for G7 countries for the period 1971 - 2018. A visual inspection of the data indicates the presence of a threshold, above which the structure of the relationship between nominal and real GDP growth rates changes from...

This paper explores implications of nominal rigidity characterized by a non-constanthazard function for aggregate dynamics. I derive the NKPC under an arbitrary hazardfunction and parameterize it with the Weibull duration model. The resulting Phillips curveinvolves lagged inflation and lagged...

We assess the impact of macroprudential measures on macroeconomic stability using a DSGE model in which firms can access both direct and indirect financing. The model is calibrated with data from the euro area. We compare two different macroprudential rules (time-invariant and counter-cyclical)...

Many empirical studies have found that interest rate have a positive effect on the price level. This paper pursues an obvious, but neglected explanation: interest payments are a cost of production that is at least in part passed on to costumers. A model shows that the cost-push effect of...