Showing 1 - 10 of 32,867
This paper studies inflation dynamics during 25 historical episodes in advanced economies where output remained well …, underpinned by weak labor markets, slowing wage growth, and, in many cases, falling oil prices. Indeed, inflation declined by … about the same fraction of the initial inflation rate across episodes. That said, disinflation has tended to taper off at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008646423
This paper explores inflation determinants within the EU and implications for new members' euro adoption plans. Factor … analysis partitions observed inflation in EU25 countries into common-origin and country-specific (idiosyncratic) components …. Cross-country differences in common-origin inflation within the EU are found to depend on gaps in the initial price level …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769001
This paper presents an empirical investigation of inflation dynamics in Libya over the period 1964–2010, using … cointegration and error correction models. While inflation inertia is found to be a key determinant of consumer price inflation, the … econometric results indicate that government spending, money supply growth, global inflation, and exchange rate pass-through play …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142009
This paper provides an overview of inflation developments in Vietnam in the years following the doi moi reforms, and … uses empirical analysis to answer two key questions: (i) what are the key drivers of inflation in Vietnam, and what role … does monetary policy play? and (ii) why has inflation in Vietnam been persistently higher than in most other emerging …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790430
We develop a semi-structural new-Keynesian open-economy model, with separate food and non-food inflation dynamics, for …-relevant exercises. First, we filter international and Kenyan data (on output, inflation and its components, exchange rates and interest … inflation. Third, we perform an out-of-sample forecast to identify where the economy—and therefore policy—was likely headed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242400
This paper analyses inflation dynamics in the Central African Economic and Monetary Community (CEMAC) using a …. Imported commodity price shocks are significant in explaining inflation in the region. Governments are another driving force of … inflation dynamics mainly through controlled prices and the role of capital expenditure in domestic activity. In most CEMAC …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009369448
When faced with a relative price shock, monetary authorities often aim to contain its second round effects on inflation … while accepting first round effects. We analyze the experience of South Africa and other inflation targeters to explore … whether and when this policy prescription implies changing the monetary policy stance. Inflation targeting central banks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605290
business cycle variance and about 25 percent of the variance of inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790326
We extend the Global Projection Model (GPM) to include a separate block for China. China plays an important role in shaping global economic outcomes, given its sheer size and trade integration with other key economies, its demand for commodities, and its policies. Also, the Chinese economy has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790285
This paper develops a panel unobserved components model of the monetary transmission mechanism in the world economy, disaggregated into twenty national economies along the lines of the Group of Twenty. This structural macroeconometric model features extensive linkages between the real and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008560440