This paper provides an empirical investigation into the determinants and stability of the aggregate wage inflation process in the United States over the 1967-2000 period. Using compensation per hour as the measure of wages, we specify a Phillips curve model that links wage growth to its past...

Is the observed correlation between current and lagged inflation a function of backward-looking inflation expectations, or do the lags in inflation regressions merely proxy for rational forward-looking expectations, as in the new-Keynesian Phillips curve? Recent research has attempted to answer...

This paper presents a re-formulated version of a canonical sticky-price model that has been extended to account for variations over time in the central bank's inflation target. We derive a closed-form solution for the model, and analyze its properties under various parameter values. The model is...

The Fisher relation played a very different role in debates surrounding the Great Depression and the more recent Great Recession. This paper explores some of these differences, and suggests an explanation for them derived from a sketch of the idea's evolution between the two events, thus...

The neo-Fisherian view does not consider a negative interest rate gap a prerequisite for boosting inflation. Instead, a negative interest rate gap is said to lower inflation. We discuss this counterintuitive response - known as the Fisher paradox - in a prototypical new-Keynesian model. We draw...

World Economic Climate: ifo World Economic Climate Deteriorates - Advanced Economies: Upturn in the Advanced Economies Loses its Momentum - Emerging and Developing Economies: Recovery in Emerging Market and Developing Economies Cools Down - Special Topic: US Tax and Trade Policy – Perceived...

World Economic Climate: ifo World Economic Climate Remains Positive - Advanced Economies: Advanced Economies Stabilise at a Favourable Level - Emerging and Developing Economies: Emerging and Developing Economies Project Slower Recovery - Special Box: A Comparison between CPB World Trade Monitor...

Ante un período muy prolongado de baja inflación, el Banco de Japón ha ido modificando su estrategia de política monetaria en las dos últimas décadas y ha sido pionero en la introducción de medidas no convencionales: desde reducir los tipos de interés oficiales a cero y, más...