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Is the observed correlation between current and lagged inflation a function of backward-looking inflation expectations, or do the lags in inflation regressions merely proxy for rational forward-looking expectations, as in the new-Keynesian Phillips curve? Recent research has attempted to answer...
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This paper presents a re-formulated version of a canonical sticky-price model that has been extended to account for variations over time in the central bank's inflation target. We derive a closed-form solution for the model, and analyze its properties under various parameter values. The model is...
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Although euro area-wide inflation was from 1999 to 2005 almost right, i.e., "close to balance, but below 2%," and … although it combined with real growth as predicted by the long-run money demand equation in the euro area, the picture that … real growth is an issue that the euro area governance is illprepared to manage. It may be of interest, therefore, to …
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