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economic model suggests a negative inflation-growth effect, and one that is stronger at lower levels of inflation. Empirical … negative inflation effect is found comprehensively for the OECD countries to be significant and, as in the theory, to increase … marginally as the inflation rate falls. For APEC countries, the results from using instrumental variables also show significant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005729288
We show that the effects of inflation on growth change substantially as the inflation rate rises. Moreover the … inflation first begins to seriously negatively affect growth is around 8% for industrial economies but 3% or less for developing … countries. Marginal growth costs for developing countries then decline significantly above 50% inflation. Failure to account for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011560902
We estimate the dynamic effects of changes in retail energy prices on inflation using a novel monthly database …, covering 110 countries over 2000:M1 to 2016:M6. We find that (i) inflation responds positively to retail energy price shocks … response of inflation to these shocks owing to differences in factors related to labor market flexibility, energy intensity …
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Density forecasts of euro area inflation are a fundamental input for a medium-term oriented central bank, such as the … euro area (headline and core) inflation and a large set of determinants, is competitive with state-of-the-art linear … ECB point inflation forecasts, displaying similar deviations from "linearity". Given that the ECB modelling toolbox is …
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