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We revise previous literature about Fisher Effect, in order to check if the majority of nominal interest rates movements are caused by inflation rate fluctuations, remaining constant the real interest rate. Finally, we analyse the Fisher Effect in the Spanish case with a preliminary analysis in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009705770
We tackle two questions in this paper: In the sovereign debt crisis, what moves the euro area inflation outlook and has the firm anchoring of medium to long-term inflation expectations been touched? Deriving densities from a new data set on options on the euro area harmonized index of consumer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010415789
This paper proposes an affine-based approach which jointly captures the nominal interest rate, the real interest rate, and the inflation risk premium to price inflation-indexed derivatives, including zero-coupon inflation-indexed swaps, year-on-year inflation-indexed swaps, inflation-indexed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113849
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120799
We introduce a new approach to model the market smile for inflation-linked derivatives by defining the Quadratic Gaussian Year-on-Year inflation model -- the QGY model. We directly define the model in terms of a year-on-year ratio of the inflation index on a discrete tenor structure, which,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081107
In this paper, we define the "inflation forward rates" based on arbitrage arguments and develop a dynamic model for the term structure of forward inflation rates. This new model can serve as a framework for specific no-arbitrage models, including the popular practitioners' market model and all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087296
Headline inflation in most industrialized countries, the US in particular, has been shown to be mean reverting to core inflation in the medium term, whilst at the same time the pass-through of exogenous commodity price shocks from the headline to the core has dramatically gone down as a result...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065713
The inflation risk premium (IRP) in the U.S. stock market varies over time. We use individual stocks to estimate the IRP, because this provides us with a heterogeneous cross-section of exposures. We find that the IRP is a significant -5.5% since the 1960s, but reverses to an insignificant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066431
This paper establishes a degree of influence between an inflation rate and a risk-free investment rate on the precision of estimated value of an Asian real option. It has been shown with an example that in the event of advancing by the inflation rate beyond profitability of risk-free...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071532
The issues of liquidity and price transparency in derivatives markets have taken on greater import given regulatory efforts under way to improve their transparency. To date, the lack of transaction data has impeded the understanding of how the inflation swap and other derivatives markets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076309