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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014487385
This paper investigates the nonlinearities in commodity prices using smooth transition regression (STR) models. What distinguishes this paper from the majority of the studies in the smooth transition literature is its use of exogenous transition variables, in addition to the standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011151895
Threshold estimation methods are developed for dynamic panels with individual fixed specific effects covering short time periods. Maximum likelihood estimation of the threshold and the slope parameters is proposed using first difference transformations. Threshold estimate is shown to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011211006
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A nonlinear model of inflation and growth, with a fixed rate of money growth, is developed and its global dynamics analysed. These are compared with the local, linearised dynamics of the model. It is shown that the global dynamics of the model plausibly predict hyperinflationary bubbles, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010749680
We analyze the causal effects of real and nominal macroeconomic uncertainty on inflation and output growth by considering whether these effects are cycle phase specific. Employing a bivariate Smooth Transition EGARCH-M model for the G7 countries during 1957–2009, we find strong nonlinearities....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011065298
techniques, this study highlights two aspects of the inflation–growth relationship. First, it analyzes the nonlinearity of the … identifies some country-based macroeconomic features that influence this nonlinearity. Our empirical results substantiate both … views and validate the fact that inflation–growth nonlinearity is sensitive to a country׳s level of financial development …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011065814
This paper investigates the relationship between exchange rate pass-through and exchange rate appreciations/depreciations and inflation by estimating nonlinear time series models. Motivated by theoretical and empirical results in the literature, the paper proposes new econometric models that can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273645
In this paper we investigate the link between inflation and relative price variability, and the impact of structural changes in the behavior of inflation using a half-a-century long disaggregated data. Employing panel data techniques to control for aggregate shocks, we show that: 1) the effect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005148484