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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009304125
forecasting model based on a two or three equation system involving CPI and PPI inflation where the effects of the exchange rate … appropriate restrictions suggested by economic theory. We compare the forecasting performance of our model with a variety of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004997900
, which should be manifested, possibly with a lag, in both producer and consumer prices. We build a forecasting model based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702549
A system of econometric models designed for forecasting target monetary indicators as well as conducting monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009018548
In assessing Alexander Swoboda's great influence on economics, two themes stand out: the determinants of global inflation, particularly in the 1970s, and the choice of an exchange rate regime consistent with domestic monetary and fiscal policies. Although seemingly narrowly focused on China, our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010304732
Since 2004, China has been backed into a situation where the renminbi is expected to go ever higher against the dollar, and this one-way bet has led to a loss of domestic monetary control. Combined with a more general flight from the U.S. dollar, the resulting monetary explosion in China...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275871
Harun Rosit, 2010. Causality Analysis of State Budget Assumptions on the State Budget in Indonesia, under the consultant Dr. Murni Daulay, M.Si (Chairman), Dr. Rahmanta, M.Si (Member).The objectives of this research are to analyze the contribution of economic growth, inflation, exchange rates,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009464681
This paper examines the global drivers of inflation in 55 countries over the 1970-2022 period. We estimate a Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregression model for each country and assess the importance of several global (demand, supply, and oil price) and domestic shocks. We report three main...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014540885
forecasting inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012523788
This paper investigates the impact of market structure on the joint determination of exchange rate pass-through and currency of invoicing in international trade. A novel feature of the study is the focus on market share of firms on both sides of the market - that is, exporting firms and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011304162