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What is the probability of high inflation; how high, when? These questions are important to all investors since even … characterizes this as The War On Savers. Higher inflation is possible, at 4% or more, with even worse effects. There are heated … debates about the probability and timing of high inflation, but our review of the extensive literature reveals no reliable way …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099903
The fiscal theory states that inflation adjusts so that the real value of government debt equals the present value of … determines the path of expected inflation, while news about the present value of surpluses drives unexpected inflation. I use … fiscal theory to interpret historical episodes, including the rise and fall of inflation in the 1970s and 1980s, the long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361983
This paper studies the inflationary implications of interest bearing regional debt in a monetary union. Is this debt simply backed by future taxation with no inflationary consequences? Or will the circulation of region debt induce monetization by a central bank? We argue here that both outcomes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014190466
Monetary Zone (WAMZ) countries and explores the response of fiscal convergence to divergence of public debt levels, inflation … strong evidence that reducing divergence in public debt levels, inflation rates and current account balances would reduce …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013342773
, fiscal consolidation, privatization, and wealth taxation) and heterodox options (inflation, financial repression, debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012655299
, effective revenue ceilings induce an increase in deficit, debt and inflation. Under many scenarios, including recurrent adverse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012137093
Low and stable inflation requires an appropriate fiscal framework aimed at stabilizing government debt. Historically …, trend inflation is critically influenced by actual or perceived changes to this framework, while cost-push shocks only … account for short-lasting movements in inflation. Before the pandemic, a moderate level of fiscal inflation has counteracted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013357155
In light of persistent in ation dispersion and rising debt levels in the EMU, this paper investigates the welfare implications of budget-neutral scal policies that counteract in ation di erentials. In a two-country DSGE model of a monetary union with traded and non-traded goods a national scal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437921
inflation could even liquidate German debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090225
to support the standard objection to such policies: that they will lead to uncontrollable inflation. Theoretical models … support for a relationship between monetary financing and inflation. The findings lend support to recent calls for explicit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389179