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This paper presents a re-formulated version of a canonical sticky-price model that has been extended to account for variations over time in the central bank's inflation target. We derive a closed-form solution for the model, and analyze its properties under various parameter values. The model is...
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Monetary policymakers and long-term investors would benefit greatly from a measure of underlying inflation that uses all relevant information, is available in real time, and forecasts inflation better than traditional underlying inflation measures such as core inflation measures. This paper...
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information. Finally, when forecasting the headline CPI, our UIG for China outperforms traditional core measures over different …
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-of-sample forecasting that the three principal components of global inflation play a significant role in explaining and predicting Korean …
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