[...]Importantly, these studies rely entirely on ex post analysis.In other words, the studies ask, Given the actual inflationoutcome, did the costs of TIPS issuances exceed the costs ofnominal Treasury issuances of similar durations? Thisapproach depends on the actual inflation outcome, which...

An asset-pricing perspective on inflation reveals that it depends on current and expected monetary and fiscal policies. There are three ways to carry $1 today into the future: money, bonds, and real assets. That dollar's purchasing power varies inversely with the price level. Expected money...

"Many advanced economies are heading into an era of fiscal stress: populations are aging and governments have made substantially more promises of old-age benefits than they have made provisions to finance. This paper models the era of fiscal stress as stemming from relentlessly growing promised...

"We use a rational expectations framework to assess the implications of rising debt in an environment with a "fiscal limit." The fiscal limit is defined as the point where the government no longer has the ability to finance higher debt levels by increasing taxes, so either an adjustment to...