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We use univariate GARCH models of inflation and output growth and monthly data on inflation and output growth in the G7 for the 1960-2000 period to examine all possible causal relationships between inflation, output growth, real, and nominal uncertainty, and hence test for a number of economic...
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Using a bivariate GARCH model of inflation and output growth we find evidence that higher inflation and more inflation uncertainty lead to lower output growth in the Japanese economy. These results support the argument of a price stability objective for the monetary authority.
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The stationarity of inflation has several important economic implications. This paper applies two recently developed panel unit root tests to re-examine the stationarity of inflation rates in 13 OECD countries. We provide strong empirical evidence to support the mean reversion of inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014136341
One potential real effect of inflation is its influence on the dispersion of relative prices in the economy which affects economic efficiency and aggregate output. Using a novel data set for the US and UK and a VARMA asymmetric bivariate GARCH-M model of inflation and relative price dispersion,...
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