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The aim of this article is to assess the empirical evidence of the nexus between public expenditure and inflation for the Mediterranean countries during the period 1970-2009, using a time-series approach. After a brief introduction, a concise survey of the economic literature on this issue is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075306
The search for the credibility of monetary policies during the recent decades this is materialized , among other things, changes in the laws that govern the activities of the Central Bank, supposed main guarantor of the proper conduct of monetary policy. These changes are aimed , essentially the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011274381
In this study, we investigate forecasting performance of various univariate and multivariate models in predicting inflation for different horizons. We design our forecast experiment for the post-oil boom years of 2010-2014 and compare forecasting ability of the different models with that of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011251893
Using input-output models, we analyze the effect of removing subsidized oil products in Morocco. We set three scenarios of increasing oil products by 25%, 50% and 75%, and symmetric decreases by the same amounts. We show that the effects are high in intensive oil products sectors such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011253053
Overall inflation in Bangladesh saw a surge in inflation rate amid rising trend of global commodity prices in the last few years. Inflation in 2009 was 6.66 percent and 7.31 percent in 2010. As higher inflation might have detrimental impact on different sectors, this study aims to assess the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258918
A policy mix characterized by a monetary policy whose main objective is price stability and fiscal policy under fiscal discipline can he permit to keep prices and production levels of social optimum to sustain economic growth ? In this paper, an index of the policy mix is ​​built for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258948
The general aim of the paper is to address the doubts that too often the Central Banks’ tools and operations don’t fit for a fine tuning of the economies, and this is even more true in harsh times. The paper begins with an overview on the great failures respectively of the Federal Reserve,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259088
This paper analyzes the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) into consumer prices for 12 EA countries within a CVAR framework. Using the Johansen cointegration procedure, results indicate the existence of one cointegrating vectors at least for each EA country of our sample. When measuring the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259175
The paper attempts to analyse the asymmetric effects of money supply and policy rate shocks in India using quarterly data from 1996-97Q1 to 2011-12Q4. It finds that both the shocks impact real output growth and inflation in the short-run, but have a differential impact among components of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259315
Large energy reserves have been a major contributor to the Azerbaijan economy, and affected the country's exports volume, and have become a main determinant of the country's economic structure. Azerbaijan is a country that has major oil and gas based economy with the completion of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259588