In this paper we study the dynamics of inflation in Macedonia, provide three forecasting tools and draw some policy conclusions from the quantitative results. We explore three forecasting methods for inflation. We use a Dynamic Factor Model (DFM) for short-term, monthly forecasting. We also...

In this paper we study the dynamics of inflation in Macedonia, provide three forecasting tools and draw some policy conclusions from the quantitative results. We explore three forecasting methods for inflation. We use a Dynamic Factor Model (DFM) for short-term, monthly forecasting. We also...

We estimate a measure of the repression of the Chinese price level by developing a simple analytical model which derives a 'true' rate of inflation on the basis of the different rates of change of the stock of money in circulation and the nominal value of retail sales. This true rate of...

We construct a simple model that tests for repressed inflation by estimating a "true" rate of inflation that explains behavior of observed money demand. We estimate the model using quarterly data for Czechoslovakia and Poland. Although our results should be viewed as preliminary, given the...