This paper shows that the optimal monetary policies recommended by New Keynesian models still imply a large amount of inflation risk. We calculate the term structure of inflation uncertainty in New Keynesian models when the monetary authority adopts the optimal policy. When the monetary policy...

This paper verifies the performance of the Barro and Gordon (1983) model to explain the US inflation since the early 1950's. We divide the period from 1951:2 to 2005:2 according to each chairman of the Federal Reserve (FED). In addition, we consider aggregated periods, represented by pre-,...