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We develop a simple experimental setting to evaluate the role of the Taylor principle, which holds that the nominal interest rate has to respond more than one-for-one to fluctuations in the inflation rate. In our setting, the average inflation rate fluctuates around the inflation target if the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086472
Inflation expectations are central to economics because they affect the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policy as well as realized inflation. We survey the recent literature with a focus on the inflation expectations of households. We first review standard data sources and discuss their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012886870
The authors apply a Hidden Markov Model to identify regimes of shifting inflation and then employ an attribution technique based on the Mahalanobis distance to identify the economic variables that determine the trajectory of inflation. Their analysis enables policymakers to focus on the most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014030604
When estimating future or pro forma financial statements and free cash flows we need to estimate future prices. In doing this we must estimate nominal increases in prices of many items, for instance selling prices, inputs prices (raw material, labor, overhead, etc.), cost of future debt, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014113186
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011609515
Market-based measures of inflation expectations can be derived either from the difference between yields on nominal and inflation-linked government bonds or from inflation swap rates. These measures are important indicators of the outlook for inflation and are monitored regularly by the United...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014543
We examine the relationship between money supply growth and inflation in 3 Asian Economies which are India, Malaysia and Japan using a time-frequency approach. The application of a unified multi-scale analysis allows us to provide a continuous assessment of the link between money supply growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951423
We investigate the interconnectedness between CPI inflation in the G7 countries and China and oil price inflation over the period 1987M6-2020M6. To this end, we employ the multivariate DECO-GARCH model and both time-domain and frequency-domain spillover methods to achieve the objectives. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225859
The present study investigates the impact of macroeconomic factors on food price inflation in India utilizing the monthly time series during January 2006-March 2019. The long-run relationship is confirmed among the variables using the ARDL bounds testing approach to cointegration. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013273751
The significance of stability of P.C.I. (Price consumer index) is reported in the situation of economy in which the price consumer index does not present tendencies of important change so much to inflation, - as down, - deflation. This is also the aim of E.E. (European Union), to maintain in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014062345