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inflation and inflation volatility. Using annual data from 1970 to 2011 for a large panel of 180 developed and developing … economies, the results show that, as expected, both measures are positively correlated with output volatility. When the two … empirical findings show that the effect of inflation volatility is positive, while the effect of trend inflation is negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010346738
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011484704
In the 1970s, large increases in the price of oil were associated with sharp decreases in output and large increases in inflation. In the 2000s, even larger increases in the price of oil were associated with much milder movements in output and inflation. Using a structural VAR approach,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110285
This paper examines the relationship between cyclical output and inflation in models commonly used for monetary policy analysis. This includes models that incorporate the New Keynesian, Fuhrer-Moore and backward-looking Phillips curves. The main finding is that these models imply a strong...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322802
This paper examines the relationship between cyclical output and inflation in models commonly used for monetary policy analysis. This includes models that incorporate the New Keynesian, Fuhrer-Moore and backward-looking Phillips curves. The main finding is that these models imply a strong...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005212000
inflation and inflation volatility. Using annual data from 1970 to 2011 for a large panel of 180 developed and developing … economies, the results show that, as expected, both measures are positively correlated with output volatility. When the two … empirical findings show that the effect of inflation volatility is positive, while the effect of trend inflation is negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060326
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507108
During the Great Moderation, macroeconomic volatility declined while firm markups increased. We document a causal … relationship between volatility and markups due to tacit collusion. We exploit the legalisation of interstate banking as an … exogenous decrease in volatility. Using an instrumental variable approach, we show that a 1\% reduction in volatility causes a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254341
Policy counterfactuals based on estimated structural VARs routinely suggest that bringing Alan Greenspan back in the 1970s' United States would not have prevented the Great Inflation. We show that a standard policy counterfactual suggests that the Bundesbank – which is near-universally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153230
We characterize the macroeconomics performance of a set of industrialized economies in the aftermath of the oil price shocks of the 1970s and of the last decade, focusing on the differences across episodes. We examine four different hypotheses for the mild effects on inflation and economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014224794