Showing 1 - 10 of 58
The paper applies an equilibrium correction model to discuss impacts of monetary, labour and external factors on the German inflation. The approach presented is of eclectic character and allows for examination which variables representative for various inflation theories matter empirically when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437880
The paper applies an equilibrium correction model to discuss impacts of monetary, labour and external factors on the German inflation. The approach presented is of eclectic character and allows for examination which variables representative for various inflation theories matter empirically when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260658
We propose methods for constructing regularized mixtures of density forecasts. We explore a variety of objectives and regularization penalties, and we use them in a substantive exploration of Eurozone inflation and real interest rate density forecasts. All individual inflation forecasters (even...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228126
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013436284
This paper surveys existing factor forecast applications for real economic activity and inflation by means of a meta-analysis and contributes to the current debate on the determinants of the forecast performance of large-scale dynamic factor models relative to other models. We find that, on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295831
In this paper, Turkish high and persistent inflation experience and its impact on inflation uncertainty and growth have been investigated. GARCH models are used to generate a measure of inflation uncertainty and quarterly data covers the period of 1987:1-2003:3. According to the results from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322130
This paper examined the impact of fiscal deficit on inflation in Namibia. The paper employed Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL) and Granger causality approach using quarterly data for the period 2002 - 2017. Empirical results showed evidence of a long run positive effect of fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014558455
In this paper, Turkish high and persistent inflation experience and its impact on inflation uncertainty and growth have been investigated. GARCH models are used to generate a measure of inflation uncertainty and quarterly data covers the period of 1987:1-2003:3. According to the results from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011529067
The sustained elevated gold price domestically, hovering persistently above the global market price, underscores the peculiar nature of the gold market in Vietnam and the resiliently strong demand for gold in the local market. In particular, the movements in the price of gold seem to lead a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081971
This paper uses a meta-analysis to survey existing factor forecast applications for output and inflation and assesses what causes large factor models to perform better or more poorly at forecasting than other models. Our results suggest that factor models tend to outperform small models, whereas...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776085