Correlations of inflation with the growth rate of money increase when data are averaged over longer time periods …. Correlations of inflation with the growth of money also are higher when high-inflation as well as low-inflation countries are … included in the analysis. We show that serial correlation in the underlying inflation rate ties these two observations together …

This paper examines the long-run effects of supply shocks (such as oil shocks) on inflation in the United States. The … persistence of supply shocks in U.S. inflation fell considerably during the period of Volcker's disinflation (1979-1982). My … the behavior of inflation expectations-agents expected shocks to persist in the pre-Volcker period, but not in the post …

economy. Romer and Romer (2000) found that the Fed reveals information about inflation when it tightens monetary policy. Their … exclude the Fed's revelation of its asymmetric information about future inflation. …

We verify whether cocoa prices could be a source of inflation in five countries of the West African region within a … remittances enables us to examine the effect of an international capital flow variable on inflation. The results reveal that the … influence of cocoa prices on consumer price inflation is strong and statistically significant. The influence of the budget …

This paper studies the importance of money for inflation in the euro area. An inflation equation is derived from a … small model that combines the supply and demand for money with a Phillips curve and the assumption that inflation … expectations develop adaptively. The model's solution attributes an impact on inflation not to actual money growth but to its core …

This paper assesses the performance of monetary indicators in predicting euro area HICP inflation out-of-sample over …. The results suggest that monetary indicators are still useful indicators for inflation in the euro area, but that a … inflation. …

States in taking inflation into account when calculating Old Age and Survivor Insurance (OASI) Benefits. Because of the … receives an annual benefit more than $1,800 larger than would have been generated with full indexing. While the inflation …-run financial instability for the OASI trust fund in periods of substantial inflation or deflation. They make the percentage …

inflation and is shown to be Granger-causal for euro area inflation in an out-of-sample forecasting exercise. In part, this … contrast, the influence of Japanese and euro area excess liquidity on euro area inflation is more limited. …

Using the statistical technique of fuzzy clustering, regimes of inflation and unemployment are explored for the United … inflation/unemployment space. There is considerable similarity across the countries in both the regimes themselves and in the … timings of the transitions between regimes. However, the typical rates of inflation and unemployment experienced in the …

inflation should differ between inflation and deflation episodes, using data for Japan and Hong Kong. We use a random … during both the inflation and deflation periods, and the parameter on the second moment changes sign in the deflation period …