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The aims of this paper are estimate and forecast the Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment, or NAIRU, for … Brazilian unemployment time series data. In doing so, we introduce a methodology for estimating mixed additive seasonal … consistent to the literature and produce reasonable forecasts for NAIRU. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407874
form of involuntary part-time employment and headline unemployment rate. Both indicators have contributed positively to … cumulative core inflation since 2015 but headline unemployment rate much less so. The contribution of trend productivity growth … post-crisis period-has corresponded with slow pass through from declining unemployment rates to faster wage growth. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011862217
The paper explores the existence and the stability of Phillips curve for North Cyprus, a small developing economy, using time series data. ADF unit root test is employed to check for stationarity. ARDL and DOLS approaches to cointegration have been used to explore the long run relation and ECM...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008805480
-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU), is used to measure inflationary pressure from the labour market. This paper examines … revisional property of the NAIRU is also examined, as well as the forecast capacity of the unemployment gap with regard to wages … inflation. Among other things, the unemployment gap, which is the difference between unemployment rate and non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399270
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011602776
' PC (relating the level of the inflation rate, not the change in this rate, to the rate of unemployment); and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013347209
Using a New Keynesian Phillips curve, we document the rapid and persistent increase in the natural rate of unemployment … unemployment gaps. Through the lens of the model, the 2022-23 disinflation was driven by the expectation that the unemployment gap … will close through a progressive decline in 𝑢𝑡 ∗ and a rise in the unemployment rate. This implies that convergence to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014501075
Recent studies have indicated that the terms 'NAIRU' (non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment) and 'natural … rate of unemployment' are not interchangeable. While NAIRU is an empirical macroeconomic relationship estimated via a … natural rate of unemployment relative to the NAIRU. The natural rate of unemployment in the USA since the Second World War is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835658
As a bottom-up approach, a Job Guarantee policy can tackle the issue of unemployment on the macroeconomic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012301007
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011378316