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containing information on real economic activity, inflation, interest rates and Divisia monetary aggregates produces the most …
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response to a monetary contraction, firms facing costs of decreasing regular prices post more sales, and households spend more …
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. Less attentive firms adjust prices slowly in response to monetary innovations, which yields non-neutrality. As average …
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Elevated inflation can threaten the credibility of central banks and increase the risk that inflation expectations do … not remain anchored. Wage-price spirals might develop in such an environment, and high inflation could become entrenched …-varying propagation of inflationary shocks that improves forecasting performance of inflation and wage growth. Central bank credibility is …
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This paper studies the behaviors of uncertainty through the lens of several popular models of expectation formation. The full-information rational expectations model (FIRE) predicts that both the ex ante uncertainty and the variance of ex post forecast errors are equal to the conditional...
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