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We use a representative online survey to investigate the inflation expectations of German consumers and the credibility … of the ECB's inflation target during the recent high inflation period. We find that credibility has trended downwards … since summer 2021, reaching an all-time low in April 2022. The high correlation between inflation expectations and the …
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We analyse the interaction between private agents? uncertainty about inflation target and the central bank's data uncertainty. In our model, private agents update their perceived inflation target and the central bank estimates unobservable economic shocks as well as the perceived inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991139
We study the behavior of U.S. consumers' inflation expectations during the high inflation period of 2021-22 using data … from the Survey of Consumer Expectations. Short- and, to a lesser extent, mediumterm inflation expectations rose as … inflation continued to climb, medium- and longerterm inflation expectations unexpectedly fell and medium- and longer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013441601
Survey data on inflation expectations show that: (i) private sector forecasts and central bank forecasts are not fully … aligned and (ii) private sector forecasters disagree about inflation expectations. To reconcile these two facts we introduce … dispersed information in a New Keynesian model, where as a result, inflation expectations differ between the private sector and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981897
sense that it understands and observes the process by which private sector inflation expectations are generated, and one in … accommodates private sector inflation expectations) is no longer constant across the disinflation, but becomes state …
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Modern monetary policy focuses on credibility and shaping consumers' inflation expectations. According to the concept …-making process and may be a specific intermediate target. The aim of the study is to analyse the credibility of inflation forecasts … credibility index. The inflation forecasts' credibility index may be calculated for all types of inflation forecasts made by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011802291