household-level data from the Survey Research Center at the University of Michigan. We highlight a fundamental disconnection … revise them towards professional forecasters' mean forecast …

Central bank surveys frequently elicit households' probabilistic beliefs about future inflation. The responses provide … only a coarse picture of inflation beliefs further away from zero. Using data from the Bundesbank household panel, we show …

price changes or in terms of the inflation rate in a new socio-economic household survey established at the University of …

I construct a novel measure of household uncertainty based on survey data for European countries. I show that household … uncertainty shocks do not universally behave like negative demand shocks. Notably, household uncertainty shocks are largely … average markups along with monetary policy play a role in the transmission of household uncertainty to inflation. These …

household surveys use a response scale that is tailored towards low-inflation regimes. Using data from a randomized controlled …Central bank surveys frequently elicit households’ probabilistic beliefs about future inflation. However, most …