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Aim: In this article, the state of the discourse concerning the final goal of the modern central bank is presented, in particular the aim of price stability, understood as low and stable inflation. Design/Research methods: The article was prepared on the basis of scientific publications in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013198396
Inflation in advanced economies is low by historical standards but there is no threat of deflation. Slower economic growth is caused by supply-side constraints rather than low inflation. Below-the-target inflation does not damage the reputation of central banks. Thus, central banks should not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012230450
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011715915
Modern monetary policy focuses on credibility and shaping consumers' inflation expectations. According to the concept of inflation forecast targeting (IFT), inflation forecasts play a crucial role in the instrument rate decision-making process and may be a specific intermediate target. The aim...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011802291
Within a standard model of monetary delegation we show thta the optimal linear inflation contract performs strictly better than the optimal inflation target when there is uncertainty about the central banker's preferences. The optimal combination of a contract and a target performs best and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014065147
How monetary policy should be set optimally when the structure of the economy exhibits inflation persistence is an important question for policy makers. This paper provides an overview of the implications of inflation persistence for the design of monetary policy
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318211
This paper investigates the performance of optimised interest rate rules when there is uncertainty about a key determinant of the monetary transmission mechanism, namely the degree of persistence characterising the inflation process. The paper focuses on the euro area and utilises two variants...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319561
Central banks in most advanced economies have reacted similarly to the increase in inflation that started in 2021. They initially looked through the rising inflation by leaving monetary policy relatively unchanged. Then, after inflation continued to increase, central banks pivoted by quickly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013370504
We disentangle the channels through which inflation expectations affect household spending. We conduct a survey featuring hypothetical scenarios that generate a controlled increase in inflation expectations. For 74% of households, current spending is unresponsive, typically due to fixed budget...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015100812
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the effectiveness of the central bank's policy rate on market interest rates in Turkey for the inflation-targeting period. Empirical evidence suggests that (i) all interest rates respond to a positive policy rate shock positively for all periods and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915255