Headline inflation in the euro area jumped to more than three percent in the summer after years of relatively low … inflation rates well below the target of close to but below two percent set by the ECB until July 2021. One of the main reasons … for the rise in inflation is the increase in energy prices since the beginning of 2021. However, there are further …

We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between out- put, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … pronounced convex relationship between inflation and the output gap, meaning that the coefficient in the Phillips curve on the …

We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between output, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … pronounced convex relationship between inflation and the output gap, meaning that the co-efficient in the Phillips curve on the …

Do euro area inflation expectations remain well-anchored? This paper finds that the protractedperiod of low (and below …-target) inflation in the euro area since 2013 has weakened theiranchoring. Testing their sensitivity to inflation and macroeconomic news … robustness to our conclusions. Results point to a significantimpact of inflation news over recent years that had not been …

determinant of the monetary transmission mechanism, namely the degree of persistence characterising the inflation process. The … types of staggered contracts specifications which induce quite different degrees of inflation persistence. The paper shows … that inflation persistence is high when uncertainty about the prevailing degree of inflation persistence is pervasive …

euro area and Japanese inflation dynamics are best explained by Taylor-style contracts, while Buiter …-Jewitt/Fuhrer-Moore contracts perform somewhat better in fitting U.S. inflation dynamics. We are unable to fit Calvo-style contracts to inflation … backward-looking element. The completed model matches inflation and output dynamics in the United States, the euro area and …

In recent years, inflation in the euro area has failed to decelerate decisively while cyclical slack built up in the … analysis conducted on two decades of quarterly data covering 17 countries yields a yes on both counts. First, inflation is …

Whereas strong demand is a key factor driving high inflation in the US, inflation in the Euro Area is mainly due to … prevent second-round effects. Long run inflation expectations - as measured by the survey of professional forecasters - still … seem to be well anchored. The ECB’s announced tightening intends to dampen rising household’s inflation expectations. Given …