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We combine an estimated monetary policy rule featuring time-varying trend inflation and stochastic coefficients with a medium scale New Keynesian framework calibrated on the U.S. economy. We find the impact of variations in trend inflation on the likelihood of equilibrium determinacy to be both...
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In a simple New Keynesian model, we derive a closed form solution for the inflation-gap persistence parameter as a function of the policy weights in the central bank's Taylor rule. By estimating the time-varying weights that the FED attaches to inflation and the output gap, we show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115531
This study compares the performance of GARCH-Type models in modelling inflation volatility in Nigeria covering the … asymmetric volatility models. The empirical examination observes evidence of volatility persistence in the consumer price indices … the role of structural breaks for inflation rate volatility in Nigeria will yield misleading and invalid policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011840993
aggressive monetary policies which results in less inflation volatility and persistence. We find this pattern emerges strongly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014088615
volatility in the effective loss function, which reduces the stabilization bias of discretionary monetary policy. The welfare …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009244262
This paper proposes a statistical model and a conceptual framework to estimate inflation volatility assuming rational … the conditional inflation volatility for Germany, Spain, the euro area and the United States using monthly data from … inflation volatility into positive and negative surprise components and characterise different inflation volatility scenarios …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354208
Recently, the Bank of Japan outlined a "two perspectives" approach to the conduct of monetary policy that focuses on risks to price stability over different time horizons. Interpreting this as pertaining to different frequency bands, we use band spectrum regression to study the determination of...
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