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ECB communication as a stabilization and coordination device: evidence from ex-ante inflation uncertainty
Fernandes, Cecilia Melo - 2021
This paper investigates the impact of ECB communication of its assessment of the economic outlook on ex-ante inflation uncertainty and sheds light on how central bank information shocks operate. The paper finds that ECB communication of new outlook information not only reduces professional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012603073
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Inflation: thruway of ECB's monetary policy
Seidl, Christian - 2023
Part of the present inflation is caused by the breakdown of globalization, in particular supply chains, part is caused by the Corona Pandemic, in particular lockdowns, part is caused by the Ukrainian War, part is caused by European sanctions, and part - and not the smallest one - is caused by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013553631
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Central bank transparency and inflation (volatility) : new evidence
Weber, Christoph S. - 2016
The last decades have shown a tendency towards higher central bank transparency. It became customary for central bankers to explain their monetary policy decisions in detail and for them to publish inflation forecasts. This leads to the question of how central bank transparency is entangled with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011525911
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Inflation, perception of economic uncertainty and COVID-19 : evidence from Central Bank communication
Silva, Pierre Hítalo Nascimento; Araujo, Jevuks Matheus de - In: Central Bank review / Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey 23 (2023) 1, pp. 1-13
need to correct the estimation of indicators of economic uncertainty. The indicators were constructed from textual data … Pandemic) in its word list. Initial results show that there is a significant effect of COVID-19 on the estimation of the … extreme events. Moreover, failing to take conjunctural issues into account throughout the estimation process can result in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014281527
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The bias and efficiency of the ECB inflation projections : a state dependent analysis
Granziera, Eleonora; Jalasjoki, Pirkka; Paloviita, Maritta - 2021
We test for bias and efficiency of the ECB inflation forecasts using a confidential dataset of ECB macroeconomic quarterly projections. We investigate whether the properties of the forecasts depend on the level of inflation, by distinguishing whether the inflation observed by the ECB at the time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012544414
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The bias and efficiency of the ECB inflation projections : a state dependent analysis
Granziera, Eleonora; Jalasjoki, Pirkka; Paloviita, Maritta - 2021
We test for bias and efficiency of the ECB inflation forecasts using a confidential dataset of ECB macroeconomic quarterly projections. We investigate whether the properties of the forecasts depend on the level of inflation, by distinguishing whether the inflation observed by the ECB at the time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012508654
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The bias of the ECB inflation projections : a State-dependent analysis
Granziera, Eleonora; Jalasjoki, Pirkka; Paloviita, Maritta - 2024
We test for state-dependent bias in the European Central Bank's inflation projections. We show that the ECB tends to underpredict when the observed inflation rate at the time of forecasting is higher than an estimated threshold of 1.8%. The bias is most pronounced at intermediate forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014532443
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Monetary policy committee transparency : measurement, determinants, and economic effects
Hayo, Bernd; Mazhar, Ummad - 2011 - This version: 28 September 2011
This paper studies monetary policy committee transparency (MPCT) based on a new index that measures central bankers' educational and professional backgrounds as disclosed through central bank websites. Based on a novel cross-sectional data set covering 75 central banks, we investigate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009305845
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Precommitment, transparency and monetary policy
Geraats, Petra M. - 2001
Üblicherweise wird angenommen, dass ein Inflationsbias verschwindet, wenn sich eine Zentralbank glaubwürdig im voraus … Modell dargestellt, in dem die Zentralbank im voraus ihre Instrumente festlegt und die anschließende Anpassung der … Zeitinkonsistenzproblem mehr auftritt. Ursache ist die Unsicherheit über die ökonomischen Störungen, auf die die Zentralbank reagiert. Nur …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011419400
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Modern Challenges of Monetary Policy Strategies : Inflation and Devaluation Influence on Economic Development of the Country
Abuselidze, George - 2020
The article discusses causes and socio-economic peculiarities of one of the most difficult and undesirable condition for the economy-inflation and devaluation. The purpose of the research is to analyze the socio-economic results of inflation and devaluation in Georgia and to determine the main...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835155