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Most empirical work on the U.S. Phillips curve has had a strong tendency to impose global linearity on the data. The basic objective of this paper is to reconsider the issue of nonlinearity and to underscore its importance for policymaking. After briefly reviewing the history of the Phillips...
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hybrid specification that includes both lagged and future inflation and then by examining whether the estimated coefficient … on future inflation is significantly larger than the one on lagged inflation. This article presents the evidence that … is irrelevant and expected future inflation is the major determinant of inflation — arise if the hybrid specification is …
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inflation. The model, named the rational-arrangements Phillips curve, identifies a central role for catch-up to price inflation … that has already occurred and a more latent role for rational expectations of future inflation. The reinterpreted Phillips …-neutrality, is consistent with inflation persistence in the aftermath of monetary shocks, informs monetary policymaking in hyper …
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Despite closing output gaps and tightening labor markets, inflation has remained low inthe euro area. Based on an … augmented Phillips Curve framework, we find that thisphenomenon-sometimes attributed to low global inflation-has been primarily … causedby a remarkable persistence of inflation, keeping it low despite the reduction in slack. Thisfeature is shown to be …
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inflation. Bill, Klenow and Malin (2012) show that, while these shocks are needed to reduce the excessive inflation persistence … generated by the models, they give rise to unrealistically volatile reset price inflation. This paper shows that introducing … the data on reset inflation …
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the paper let me trace changes of the natural unemployment rate in Poland in the context of structural changes in the … fiscal variables, the model is able to replicate high degree of the unemployment persistence …
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