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little to the plans.With the assumptions used and actual inflation experienced over the past decade noted, it is important to … look at where inflation may be headed in the longer-term. Several central banks and the IMF project longer-term inflation to … forward, it will be important to see how close government forecasts match actual inflation and, relatedly, how close actual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014030997
Part of the present inflation is caused by the breakdown of globalization, in particular supply chains, part is caused … the past and in the presence. This paper attributes inflation decisively to the overwhelming money creation by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014000500
Part of the present inflation is caused by the breakdown of globalization, in particular supply chains, part is caused … the past and in the presence. This paper attributes inflation decisively to the overwhelming money creation by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013553631
inflation - is a central determinant of welfare, the cost of business cycles, the optimal rate of inflation, and the tradeoff … between inflation and output stability. While the comovement of price dispersion and inflation implied by standard models is … the data, the comovement of price dispersion and inflation turns positive. Nevertheless, I show that a wide variety of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349290
Lucas (1972) was a paper that permanently changed the course of macroeconomics, even though its "money supply surprise" model lost its central place in the area within a decade because of empirical difficulties. However, Lucas's novel methodology, based on clearing markets and rational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705131
Analyzing inflation as a change in the value of a currency, rather than changes in prices of goods and services …, provides perspective on three fundamental sources of inflation.A Money Value Formula produces a significant statistical fit … with forward long-term inflation rates using long lags of monetary aggregates with inflation variability due almost …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012896591
explain virtually all variation of future long-term inflation, enabling significantly more accurate inflation forecasts than … inflation in all 18 countries surveyed. Over 94% of the variation of long-term inflation is explained in 13 of the 18 countries … sample forecasts for U.S. inflation are 50% more accurate (smaller error) than consensus long-term forecasts and 10-20% more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970015
predictions about the level of price dispersion, as well as about its dynamic properties and sensitivity to inflation. These … dispersion and inflation, and the role of sales in this relationship …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013545
Low and unresponsive inflation has been termed a “puzzle.” The paper describes a formula for which these conditions … variability of forward long-term inflation. Its U.S. inflation forecasts are comparable to recognized leaders in accuracy with … potential applicability to international economies as well.Inflation Elasticity, the responsiveness of inflation to monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858878
Is inflation a monetary phenomenon? In the decades since the influential work of Milton Friedman, the great moderation … structural change in the underlying relationship between money growth and inflation, there is limited understanding as to why … important impact on the relationship between excess money growth and inflation. Estimating these effects using a long run sample …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220580