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Using a new consumer survey dataset, we show that macroeconomic preferences affect expectations and economic decisions … through different channels. While household expectations are on average inversely related to preferences, households with the … and affects durable spending and saving decisions. We also show that the variation in inflation preferences can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013166152
Using a new consumer survey dataset, we study the role of macroeconomic preferences for expectations and economic … decisions. While household expectations are inversely related to preferences, households with the same in ation expectations can … spending via the intertemporal elasticity of substitution. We also show that the variation in preferences can be explained with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012519950
I construct a novel measure of household uncertainty based on survey data for European countries. I show that household uncertainty shocks do not universally behave like negative demand shocks. Notably, household uncertainty shocks are largely inflationary in Europe. Further analysis, including...
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following the exchange rate shock in 2018 provides an interesting period to analyze whether the sensitivity of inflation to its …
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This paper studies the behaviors of uncertainty through the lens of several popular models of expectation formation. The full-information rational expectations model (FIRE) predicts that both the ex ante uncertainty and the variance of ex post forecast errors are equal to the conditional...
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