We formulate the central bank's problem of selecting an optimal long-run inflation rate as the choice of a distorting tax by a planner who wishes to maximize discounted utility for a heterogeneous population of infinitely-lived households in an economy with constant aggregate income. Households...

In this paper, we evaluate the accuracy of the U.S. Treasury Department forecasts of real growth and inflation from 1976 to 1990 for the Group of Seven (G-7) economies. The accuracy of these forecasts is measured against the standard of actual real world growth and inflation as subsequently...

We study the interaction of multiple large economies in dynamic stochastic general equilibrium. Each economy has a monetary policymaker that attempts to control the economy through the use of a linear nominal interest rate feedback rule. We show how the determinacy of worldwide equilibrium...

The authors study the welfare cost of inflation in a general equilibrium life-cycle model that includes households that live for many periods, production and capital, simple monetary and financial sectors, and a fairly elaborate government sector. The government’s taxation of capital income is...

In this article, James B. Bullard and Alvin L. Marty begin by summarizing some popular arguments for positive steady-state rates of inflation based on the idea that a certain amount of inflation stabilizes economic performance. Then, synthesizing a number of disparate results in a single...

Presented at the Bowling Green Area Chamber of Commerce. February 24, 2011.

President's message.

Presented at the 2011 European Banking & Financial Forum, Prague, Czech Republic.

May 18, 2011. Delivered at Money Marketeers of New York University, New York, N.Y.