An examination of the small-sample properties of nonparametric changepoint tests using Monte Carlo analysis to investigate the probabilities of false-positive tests under alternative assumptions about the time-series properties of the underlying process. ; An analysis of whether depositor...

This paper investigates the welfare effects of inflation in economies with search frictions and menu costs. We first analyze an economy where there is no transaction demand for money balances: Money is a mere unit of account. We determine a condition under which price stability is optimal and a...

We estimate a discrete-time multivariate pricing kernel for the term structure of interest rates, using both yields and inflation rates. This gives a separate estimate of the real kernel and the nominal kernel, taking into account a relatively sophisticated dynamical structure and mutual...

Understanding why the prices of commodities, like copper, increase or decrease is one of the many pieces of the puzzle that we as policymakers try to fit together to help us figure out how the economy and inflation will perform in the future. Inflation is what the Federal Reserve can control -...

In a speech at Case Western Reserve University, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President and CEO Sandra Pianalto discussed how the recovery is unfolding, focusing on the stubborn nature of high unemployment and her concern about our uncomfortably low rate of inflation. She also explained why...

In a panel discussion at the University of Akron in Akron, Ohio, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President and CEO Sandra Pianalto gave a brief overview of her current outlook for the economic recovery and for inflation.

In a speech to the Pittsburgh Chapter of the Association for Corporate Growth, President Pianalto presented her current outlook for the economic recovery and inflation, and described some risks to that outlook. She also discussed the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and the benefits of an...

President Pianalto spoke of her perspective on the economy and inflation. She explained how some critical assumptions affect her economic projections and talked about the role that inflation expectations play in the current environment.

In a speech in New York City, Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank President Sandra Pianalto comments on current economic conditions, explains why she thinks the country's economic recovery will be gradual and bumpy, and gives her thoughts on what this gradual path to recovery may mean for inflation...

President Pianalto first explains why maintaining price stability requires keeping inflation expectations low and secure. Second, she describes some inflationary risks that may become significant down the road. Finally, she discusses why, in the face of these risks, central banks' ability to...