Inflation expectations are a key determinant of actual and future inflation and thus matter for the conduct of monetary policy. We study how firms form their inflation expectations using quarterly firm-level data from the Bank of Canada's Business Outlook Survey, spanning the 2001 to 2015...

We use inflation and income growth expectations from the ECB Consumer Expectations Survey to measure the subjective expected pass-through of inflation to income in the main euro area countries. By aggregating consumers' responses to probabilistic questions, we obtain significantly higher...

For decades, the academic literature has focused on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey, the Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the Michigan Survey. While these measures have been useful in developing models of forecasting inflation, the data are low frequency...

Inflation expectations are a key determinant of actual and future inflation and thus matter for the conduct of monetary policy. We study how firms form their inflation expectations using quarterly firm-level data from the Bank of Canada's Business Outlook Survey, spanning the 2001 to 2015...

Measuring economic uncertainty is crucial for understanding investment decisions by individuals and firms. Macroeconomists increasingly rely on survey data on subjective expectations. An innovative approach to measure aggregate uncertainty exploits the rounding patterns in individuals' responses...

Este documento analiza la información contenida en medidas alternativas de expectativas de inflación —incluidas las obtenidas a partir de consumidores, empresas, expertos y mercados financieros—, en el contexto de curvas de Phillips de economía abierta. Adoptando una aproximación...

En este documento se ofrece una panorámica de la evolución de la inflación a escala global en la última década y se trata de descubrir qué factores podrían explicar los niveles muy bajos de inflación durante la recuperación de la Gran Recesión. Se hace una revisión de la literatura...

In this paper we propose an affine model that uses as observed factors the Nelson and Siegel (NS) components summarising the term structure of interest rates. By doing so, we are able to reformulate the Diebold and Li (2006) approach to forecast the yield curve in a way that allows us to...

Este trabajo explora el comportamiento de las expectativas de inflación en países que comparten su política monetaria, en particular los de la UEM. Se investigan las posibles características comunes a varios horizontes, así como los diferenciales entre países. Se propone un modelo...

Artículo de revista ; This article analyses a broad set of relevant variables for monitoring inflationary pressures in the Spanish economy. On the basis of these variables, composite indicators are calculated that proxy inflation expectations, the degree of slack in the economy and other...