Showing 1 - 10 of 2,976
inflation are co-breaking. We argue that the step-like development of inflation is in line with shocks and monetary policy that …% inflation was accomplished by introducing an inflation targeting regime. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544982
This paper analyzes euro area and U.S. inflation dynamics since the beginning of the 1990s by estimating New Keynesian … hybrid Phillips curves with time-varying parameters. We measure inflation expectations by subjective forecasts from Consensus … results indicate that in both economic areas the inflation dynamics have steadily become more forward-looking over time. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081651
We estimate the New Keynesian Phillips Curve for the USA from 1997 to 2019 using expected inflation from financial … instruments. We use a spliced series comprised of the TIPS spread and inflation swaps. Empirical tests find higher coefficients on … backward-looking inflation than forward-looking, except for the 2009 – 2015 period of zero lower bound Fed Funds rate target …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856290
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191432
The paper presents an incomplete competition model (ICM), where inflation is determined jointly with unit labour cost … growth. The ICM is estimated on data for the Euro area and evaluated against existing models, i.e. the implicit inflation …. There is, however, some support in favour of the (reduced form) AWM inflation equation. It is the only model that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319393
This paper examines the degree of persistence in UK inflation by applying long-memory methods to historical data that … evolution over time. On the whole, the evidence suggests that the degree of persistence of UK inflation has been relatively …-Bretton Woods changes in UK inflation are attributable to a fall in the volatility of permanent shocks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011815117
A statistically significant relationship between the unemployment gap and inflation can be found for a clear majority … slack on inflation can often be dominated by other shocks, including imported inflation. The current Secretariat Phillips … curve specification assumes inflation expectations are anchored at the central bank’s target, although some experimentation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012202854
This paper examines the degree of persistence in UK inflation by applying long-memory methods to historical data that … evolution over time. On the whole, the evidence suggests that the degree of persistence of UK inflation has been relatively …-Bretton Woods changes in UK inflation are attributable to a fall in the volatility of permanent shocks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011819378
This paper investigates the evolution of inflation dynamics in the five largest ASEAN countries between 1997 and 2017 …-looking dynamics and a better anchoring of inflation expectations, consistent with the improvements in monetary policy frameworks in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011898926
In many forward-looking macroeconomic models, such as the New Keynesian model, firms' expectations about the future play a key role in determining outcomes today. We examine this hypothesis using a novel panel dataset on firms actual and expected price changes collected by the Confederation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523616