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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011579821
There is a growing interest in studying the disagreement of economic agents. Most studies, however, focus on the disagreement regarding one specific variable, hereby neglecting that disagreement may be comoving with disagreement on other variables. In this paper we explore to which extent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010504015
Using the microdata of the Michigan Survey of Consumers, we evaluate whether U.S. consumers form macroeconomic expectations consistent with different economic concepts, namely the Phillips curve, the Taylor rule and the Income Fisher equation. We observe that 50% of the surveyed population have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425155
Utilizing the microdata from a first cross-section of a new household survey at the University of Hamburg, we analyze if consumers respond to their own inflation expectations and economic news that they have observed recently when they plan to adjust their savings portfolio in the next year. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425156
We investigate the updating behavior of individual consumers regarding their shortand long-run inflation expectations. Utilizing the University of Michigan Survey of Consumer's rotating panel microstructure, we can identify whether individuals adjust their inflation expectations over a period of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425202
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425203
We compare the formation of quantitative inflation perceptions and expectations from questions asked either in terms of price changes or in terms of the inflation rate in a new socio-economic household survey established at the University of Hamburg. In addition to socio-demographic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425204
Building on the hypotheses of loss aversion with respect to price increases and availability of frequently bought goods, Brachinger (2006, 2008) constructs an alternative index of perceived inflation (IPI), which can reproduce the jump in the measure for perceived inflation after the Euro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425230
Using quantitative survey data from the Swedish Consumer Tendency Survey as well as a unique data set on media reports about inflation, we analyze the formation process of inflation perceptions and expectations as well as interrelations between the variables. Throughout the analysis, the role of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425851
Building on Prospect Theory, we apply the concept of loss aversion to the formation of inflation perceptions and test empirically for non-linearities in the inflation-perceptions relation for a panel of 10 Euro area countries. Specifically, under the assumption of loss aversion, inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425854