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postwar US macroeconomic data can be explained as the outcome of passive monetary policy, indeterminacy, and sunspot … windows and allowing the parameters to fall both in the determinacy and indeterminacy regions. The estimates reveal large … the sample. The results confirm that macroeconomic data in the early windows are better explained by indeterminacy, while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012200338
This paper analyses the determinants of short-term inflation expectations based on surveys of professionals, using … dynamic cross-country panel estimation for a large number of 34 OECD economies. We find that food consumer price inflation and … depreciations of the domestic exchange rate have significant positive effects on professionals' survey-based inflation expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012745238
We study the effects of professionals’ survey-based inflation expectations on inflation for a large number of 36 OECD … economies, using dynamic cross-country panel estimation of New-Keynesian Phillips curves. We find that inflation expectations … have a significantly positive effect on inflation. We also find that the effect of inflation expectations on inflation is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012697141
The popularity of inflation targeting has risen in the last decade and the number of countries that adopted inflation … targeting as their monetary policy framework surpassed 40 by the end of 2016. This study analyzes whether inflation targeting … around the world has been successful in terms of achieving the announced target and keeping inflation rate around it. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012016727
, prompting them to raise markups and prices in anticipation of potentially higher future inflation. These findings establish a … connection between heightened uncertainty, higher core inflation, and increased profits. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320533
that the inflation bias can persist even when the central bank commits. A simple model is presented in which the central … bank precommits by setting the policy instrument, and the subsequent adjustment of inflation expectations is part of the … transmission mechanism. Generally there is still an inflation bias, despite the absence of a time-inconsistency problem. It is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011419400
inflation are co-breaking. We argue that the step-like development of inflation is in line with shocks and monetary policy that …% inflation was accomplished by introducing an inflation targeting regime. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544982
We analyze the determinants of average individual in ation uncertainty and disagreement based on data from the European Central Bank's Survey of Professional Forecasters. We empirically confirm the implication from a theoretical decomposition of in ation uncertainty that disagreement is an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011453118
The purpose of the present paper is to investigate perceived inflation gap persistence using actual data of … professional forecasts. We derive the unobserved perceived inflation gap persistence and using a state dependent model we estimate … the non-linear persistence coefficient of inflation gap. Our main result is that for GDP deflator inflation, the estimates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011471470
After the introduction of a stabilization program Israeli inflation decreased from 400% in 1985 to 2% in 2013. This … process is defined by three clear steps of high, medium and low inflation. The break dates are in line with major economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010477579