Showing 1 - 10 of 2,689
, however, is the incompleteness of its reform process: the boom-bust nature of its growth, persistently high inflation, delays …, to reduce inflation to single digits by the end of 2002. Since then, though, Turkey has experienced two financial crises … and redesigned its stabilization program to bring inflation down more gradually. This collection analyzes the nature of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010513258
This paper reinvestigates the performance of trimmed-mean inflation measures some 20 years since their inception … measures in forecasting headline inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010251647
Survey-based expectations are mostly used by monetary authorities for inflation forecasts and evaluation of the … credibility of their inflation fighting policies. It is also an important link in the monetary policy transmission mechanism. This … study examined the predictive ability of business expectations survey (BES) inflation index on movements of inflation as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011473533
Yes, indeed; at least for macroeconomic policy interaction. We examine a Neo-Classical economy and provide the conditions for policy arrangements to successfully stabilize the economy when agents have either rational or adaptive expectations. For a contemporaneous-data monetary policy rule, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011513023
investigate the inflation expectations and uncertainties of firms. We document that, in the aggregate, firm inflation expectations … are very similar to the predictions of professional forecasters for national inflation statistics, despite a somewhat … inflation expectations bear little in common with the "prices in general" expectations reported by households. Next we show that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010457601
investigate the inflation expectations and uncertainties of firms. We document that, in the aggregate, firm inflation expectations … are very similar to the predictions of professional forecasters for national inflation statistics, despite a somewhat … inflation expectations bear little in common with the "prices in general" expectations reported by households. Next we show that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010459621
This paper aims to show why Irving Fisher's own data on interest rates and inflation in New York, London, Paris, Berlin … changes in inflation, not even in the long run. In Fisher's data, interest rates have more persistence than inflation and … change less than inflation over time. The Fisher effect is a misnomer unless it is taken to refer to what Fisher actually …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010496089
We propose a new approach to assessing the anchoring of inflation expectations using "strategic surveys". Namely, we … measure households' revisions in long-run inflation expectations after they are presented with different economic scenarios. A … key advantage of this approach is that it provides a causal interpretation in terms of how inflation events affect long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013162104
. Adding inflation as a second variable, we uncover two states in which expected consumption growth is low, one with high and … one with negative expected inflation. Embedded in a general equilibrium asset pricing model with learning, these dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012797771
This paper examines the role of inflation expectations in Solomon Islands, a Pacific Island Country, using the Hybrid … matter for inflation. Fuel prices and output gap are important indicators of current inflation. The study highlights key … through effect onto domestic prices. Studies on the role of inflation expectations in small, open, economies of the Pacific …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012628568