Showing 1 - 10 of 2,693
Expectations are at the centre of modern macroeconomic theory and policymakers. In this paper, we examine the predictive ability and the consistency properties of macroeconomic expectations using data of the European Central Bank (ECB) Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF)
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012961331
changes in inflation rates, but, possibly, also to investors' behavior. Secondly, we show that the special US dollar status of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009405600
changes in inflation rates, but, possibly, also to investors' behavior. Secondly, we show that the special US dollar status of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118031
and public information when building inflation expectations in Brazil. The main results are: (i) forecasters attach more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999818
In this paper we explore the role that exchange rate interventions may play in determining inflation expectations in … Chile. To that end, we consider a set of nine deciles of inflation expectations coming from the survey of professional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059560
In this paper we explore the role that exchange rate interventions may play in determining inflation expectations in … Chile. To that end, we consider a set of nine deciles of inflation expectations coming from the survey of professional … a significant, but relatively short-lived, impact on the distribution of inflation expectations at long horizons. On the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079339
uncorrected, must cause inflation, but the imbalance may get corrected in the future with some probability. By maintaining price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014376056
, however, is the incompleteness of its reform process: the boom-bust nature of its growth, persistently high inflation, delays …, to reduce inflation to single digits by the end of 2002. Since then, though, Turkey has experienced two financial crises … and redesigned its stabilization program to bring inflation down more gradually. This collection analyzes the nature of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010513258
This paper reinvestigates the performance of trimmed-mean inflation measures some 20 years since their inception … measures in forecasting headline inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010251647
Survey-based expectations are mostly used by monetary authorities for inflation forecasts and evaluation of the … credibility of their inflation fighting policies. It is also an important link in the monetary policy transmission mechanism. This … study examined the predictive ability of business expectations survey (BES) inflation index on movements of inflation as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011473533