In this paper we model monthly UK inflation and find that there is some small but significant autocorrelation …, particularly at 12 months. We find that this autocorrelation in monthly inflation leads to significant persistence in the headline … annual inflation figure. A one-off shock to monthly inflation will have an effect on the headline figure equal to 10% of the …

.e. whose price changes rarely) contain more information about medium term inflation developments than those of flexible price … inflation index indeed has a forward-looking component, as it has favorable inflation forecasting properties on the policy … horizon of 1-2 years to alternative inflation indicators (including core inflation). Both theoretical and empirical results …

In this paper, we examine the extent to which monetary policy should respond to movements in sectoral inflation rates … for different responses to inflation in different sectors outperforms a rule which just targets aggregate CPI, as does a … rule that responds only to non food and energy inflation. However, we find that the optimal sectoral rule only leads to a …

We apply classical econometric method to characterize the dynamic behavior of the quarter-on-quarter inflation over the … inflation series and as well as for the consumer price inflation at representative product groups level, taking into account the … influence of structural breaks in the mean of inflation on the level of persistence. We find strong evidence for a break in the …

Whittle estimation method, the research examines the longmemory properties of headline inflation through monthly data from … January 1996 to January 2023. The study expands upon existing knowledge of inflation persistence by exploring its changes and … the various patterns of inflation persistence in Europe. The findings reveal significant differences in the persistence of …

Inflation affects the purchasing power of households. This paper documents large, idiosyncratic inflation differences … between households in their everyday shopping. Low-income households have experienced higher inflation in the last ten years … inflation differences within countries. Between countries, multinational retail chains not only differentiate products by …

reduced-form Phillips curve - the positive dependence of inflation on its own lags. In this paper, I show hat it is the 4 … price reset hazard function can generate simulated data that are consistent with inflation gap persistence found in US CPI … data. I conclude that a non-constant price reset hazard plays a crucial role for generating realistic inflation dynamics …