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The conventional wisdom that inflation expectations respond to the level of the price of oil (or the price of gasoline … price shocks may indeed drive one-year household inflation expectations. The model shows that there have been several such … episodes since 1990. In particular, the rise in household inflation expectations between 2009 and 2013 is almost entirely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012317339
The purpose of this paper is to answer the question of whether the switching to the Inflation Targeting (IT) regime is … criterion. That is, the practical experience of the inflation targeters, and the efficiency of Monetary Targeting Regime (MTR … anchor to send the right message to all practitioners about the potential behavior of the price level, I assessed the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003790283
This paper analyzes the time-varying credibility of the Fed's inflation target in an empirical macro model with … asymmetric information, where the public has to learn about the actual inflation target from the Fed's interest rate policy. To …-term inflation expectations of professionals with the perceived inflation target. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013472154
We propose a new approach to assessing the anchoring of inflation expectations using "strategic surveys". Namely, we … measure households' revisions in long-run inflation expectations after they are presented with different economic scenarios. A … key advantage of this approach is that it provides a causal interpretation in terms of how inflation events affect long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013162104
rate both matter for determining inflation and economic activity. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584354
particular the aim of price stability, understood as low and stable inflation. Design/Research methods: The article was prepared … inflation reduces uncertainty about future price developments. This facilitates decision-making for companies concerning … production and investment, and for households concerning consumption and saving. From a macroeconomic point of view, price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013198396
This paper evaluates the success of Inflation Targeting on inflation and growth on a large panel data set of both … evidence to show that the support for a successful Inflation Targeting policy is very weak or non-existent. We use various … the process by which inflation targeting is hypothesised to influence inflation and growth, Section 3 surveys this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012227388
Inflation in advanced economies is low by historical standards but there is no threat of deflation. Slower economic … growth is caused by supply-side constraints rather than low inflation. Below-the-target inflation does not damage the … reputation of central banks. Thus, central banks should not try to bring inflation back to the targeted level of 2%. Rather, they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012230450
estate, as well as the costs of public goods to develop alternative inflation measures in Germany since the introduction of … the euro. Real economic growth as well as median wage developments are reexamined in light of the alternative inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012291889
We explore the consequences of losing confidence in the price-stability objective of central banks by quantifying the … inflation and deflationary biases in inflation expectations. In a model with an occasionally binding zero-lower-bound constraint …, we show that an inflation bias as well as a deflationary bias exist as a steady-state outcome. We assess the predictions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012317310