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Following the Asian financial crisis in 1997-98, a number of Asian central banks adopted inflation targeting. While it is possible for the average inflation rate to be close to target, deviations of inflation could nevertheless be large and protracted. We therefore explore how successful this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120898
This study empirically documents that inflation is significantly more persistent when it is below the central bank target than otherwise, for inflation rates in five inflation targeting countries (Australia, New Zealand, Sweden, United States and the Euro- Area). The study uses a threshold...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901690
This paper empirically investigates the impact of inflation targeting on inflation uncertainty. We implement PARCH and GARCH methodologies to model conditional variance of inflation. We also investigate the relationship between level and volatility of inflation to analyze the validity of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014174578
We investigate the empirics of the persistence in the inflation series for 13 OECD countries that use an inflation targeting regime. We estimate persistence in the pre- and post-targeting periods using the fractional integration framework suggested by Kim and Phillips (2006, 2000) and Phillips...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014149193
We construct an empirical test of whether the anticipation of adoption of inflation targeting affects the inflation rate. We observe that most of the central banks adopt the regime after first achieving significant disinflation. With pre-inflation-targeting-disinflation, initial targets are met...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014547795
Well-anchored inflation expectations have become a key indicator for the credibility of a central bank’s inflation target. Since the outbreak of the recent financial crisis, the existence and the degree of de-anchoring of U.S. inflation expectations have been under debate. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010529337
A Phillips Curve (PC) framework is utilized to study the challenging post-1985 disinflation process in Israel. The estimated PC is stable and has forecasting power. Based on endogenous structural break tests we find that actual and expected inflation are co-breaking. We argue that the step-like...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544982
After the introduction of a stabilization program Israeli inflation decreased from 400% in 1985 to 2% in 2013. This paper analyzes how the remarkable transition process of Israel's disinflation took place. We reinforce the existing hypothesis that inflationmoved in distinct steps characterized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010477579
This paper studies the impact of inflation targeting on the evolution of inflation persistence and the effects of aggregation across expenditure categories. For this purpose we use disaggregate quarterly data on 12 major subcategories of the Korean CPI. We compare persistence in a sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101135
We analyze the impact of price stability-oriented monetary strategies (inflation targeting — IT — and constraining exchange rate arrangements) on inflation persistence using a time-varying coefficients framework in a panel of 68 countries (1993–2013). We show that explicit IT has a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962672