Showing 1 - 10 of 1,697
Many central banks in emerging and advanced economies have adopted an inflation-forecast targeting (IFT) approach to … monetary policy, in order to successfully establish a stable, low-inflation environment. To support policy making, each has …-fledged inflation targeting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019008
Standard New Keynesian (NK) models feature an optimal inflation target well below two percent, limited welfare losses …-run Phillips curve between inflation and unemployment and a trade-off between price distortions and output hysteresis that change … the welfare-maximizing inflation level. For a plausible set of parameters, the optimal inflation target is in excess of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306762
inflation and deflationary biases in inflation expectations. In a model with an occasionally binding zero-lower-bound constraint …, we show that an inflation bias as well as a deflationary bias exist as a steady-state outcome. We assess the predictions … of this model using unique individual-level inflation expectations data across nine countries that allow for a direct …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012317310
We examine the relative ability of simple inflation targeting (IT) and price level targeting (PLT) monetary policy … rules to minimize both inflation variability and business cycle fluctuations in Canada for shocks that have important … persistent cost-push pressures in the economy leading to a significant deterioration in the inflation - output gap trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009546871
towards inflation targeting in monetary policy and an unprecedented surge in labour supply due to higher immigration rates. We …-bargaining pattern, has been changed by labour immigration or by inflation targeting monetary policy. An explanation of why we do not … arbitration system itself has syncronized the inflation expectations of the social partners. In that analysis, inflation targeting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373319
With the concept of trend inflation now widely understood as to be important as a measure of the public's perception of … the inflation goal of the central bank and important to the accuracy of longer-term inflation forecasts, this paper uses … Bayesian methods to assess alternative models of trend inflation. Reflecting models common in reduced-form inflation modeling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013112644
1980's. In particular, inflation persistence has declined sharply. The paper demonstrates that this decline is consistent …) the central bank more aggressively responds to inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012723663
stability. This paper investigates the effects of commodity price shocks on headline inflation with a monthly panel consisting … of 144 countries. We find that the effects of commodity price shocks on inflation virtually disappear within about one … fairly robust, suggesting a low risk of a persistent second-round effect on inflation. Employing the smooth transition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951603
This paper analyzes the performance of central banks in 27 inflation targeting countries by examining their success in … achieving their explicit inflation targets. For this purpose, we decompose the inflation gap, the difference between actual … inflation and inflation target, into predictable and unpredictable components. We argue that the central banks are successful if …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005965
We offer a novel methodology for assessing the quality of inflation reports. In contrast to the existing literature …, which mostly evaluates the formal quality of these reports, we evaluate their economic content by comparing inflation … coding of inflation reports to describe inflation factors communicated by central banks in real time. Regarding the latter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051913