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Macroeconomic policy in Latin America underwent significant changes in the late nineties. Brazil is an outstanding example: inflation targeting was introduced in 1999 and a new fiscal policy framework was set up in 2000 with the Fiscal Responsibility Law. However, two elements of the Brazilian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045944
This paper draws from Japan's recent monetary experiment to examine the effects of an increase in the inflation target during a liquidity trap. We review Japanese data and examine through a VAR model how macroeconomic variables respond to an identified inflation target shock. We apply these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011563011
This paper evaluates inflation forecasts made by Norges Bank which is recognized as a successful forecast targeting central bank. It is reasonable to expect that Norges Bank produces inflation forecasts that are on average better than other forecasts, both "naiv͏̈e" forecasts, and forecasts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008936407
The idea of inflation targeting in emerging countries is not a new one. There have been papers that favor or reject the idea of implementing such a system in these countries for mainly institutional reasons. This paper does not deal with these normative arguments. Emerging countries are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124931
This paper uses simple analytics to show the similarities and differences between inflation targeting and fear of floating in emerging markets. The analytics provide well-defined predictions for the behaviour of exchange rates and relevant monetary variables under both regimes. This allows us to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124938
We investigate through a time-varying trend inflation model the anchoring of the inflation process in the five largest emerging economies: Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (also known as the BRICS countries) since 1990s. Our analysis is based on a non-centered unobserved components...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844942
India formally adopted flexible inflation targeting (FIT) in June 2016 to place price stability, defined in terms of a target CPI inflation, as the primary objective of monetary policy. In this context, the paper draws on Indian macroeconomic developments since 2000 and the experience of other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960575
This paper evaluates inflation forecasts made by Norges Bank which is a successful forecast targeting central bank. It is expected that Norges Bank produces inflation forecasts that are on average better than other forecasts, both naive forecasts, and forecasts from econometric models outside...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210321
This paper draws from Japan's recent monetary experiment to examine the effects of an increase in the inflation target during a liquidity trap. We review Japanese data and examine through a VAR model how macroeconomic variables respond to an identified inflation target shock. We apply these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210410
We evaluate and compare alternative monetary policy rules, namely average inflation targeting, price level targeting, and traditional inflation targeting rules, in a standard New Keynesian model that features recurring, transient zero lower bound regimes. We use determinacy and expectational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012665278