markets and inflation is analyzed. The results of Granger-causality tests reveal that stock market has no predictive power … volatility for inflation uncertainty, et vice versa. Regarding the subsequent volatility of short-term and of long-term interest … rate. In contrast, inflation uncertainty provides some information. The hypothesis of a causality running from the …

Any measure of unobserved inflation uncertainty relies on specific assumptions which are most likely not fulfilled … indicator for inflation uncertainty. Moreover, the idiosyncratic component of survey disagreement contains systematic … that higher inflation is followed by higher uncertainty. By contrast, we obtain contradictory results for the individual …

In this paper, Turkish high and persistent inflation experience and its impact on inflation uncertainty and growth have … been investigated. GARCH models are used to generate a measure of inflation uncertainty and quarterly data covers the … period of 1987:1-2003:3. According to the results from this study, inflation and inflation uncertainty are of negative …

We analyze the determinants of average individual inflation uncertainty and disagreement based on data from the … decomposition of inflation uncertainty that disagreement is an incomplete approximation to overall uncertainty. Both measures are …, average individual inflation uncertainty is higher during periods of expansionary monetary policy, whereas disagreement rises …

This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steady-state inflation and … inflation uncertainty have declined steadily since the inception of EMU, whilst short-run uncertainty has increased, mainly …

Measuring and monitoring inflation uncertainty is an essential ingredient of monetary policy analysis. This study … constructs survey measures of inflation uncertainty for the Turkish economy. Using density and point inflation forecasts in the … among forecasters. Our results suggest that survey-based inflation uncertainty measures are broadly consistent with market …

The welfare costs of inflation and inflation uncertainty are well documented in the literature and empirical evidence … inflation and inflation uncertainty in Egypt using monthly time series data during the period January 1974 - April 2015. To … endogenously control for any potential structural breaks in the inflation time series, Zivot and Andrews (2002) and Clemente …

In the late 90's, after severe financial and economic crisis, accompanied by inflation and exchange rate instability …, Eastern Europe emerged into two groups of countries with radically contrasting monetary regimes (Currency Boards and Inflation … relationship between inflation, output growth, nominal and real uncertainties from 2000 till now. In other words, we test the …

series perspective. More specifically, we investigate how dollarization effects inflation, GDP, inflation uncertainty and … money-price relationship in Ecuador. There are four main findings of this study. First, inflation is lower after official … prices and increase in the equity markets of emerging economies. Third, inflation uncertainty measured by inflation variance …

The welfare costs of inflation and inflation uncertainty are well documented in the literature and empirical evidence … inflation and inflation uncertainty in Egypt using monthly time series data during the period January 1974 - April 2015. To … endogenously control for any potential structural breaks in the inflation time series, Zivot and Andrews (2002) and Clemente …