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Central bankers’ conventional wisdom suggests that nominal interest rates should be raised to implement a lower inflation target. In contrast, I show that the standard New Keynesian monetary model predicts that nominal interest rates should be decreased to attain this goal. Real interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604924
When taken to examine disinflation monetary policies, the current workhorse DSGE model of business cycle fluctuations … downturn, disinflation entails non-zero overall welfare gains. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265222
disinflation under inflation targeting policies. The analysis is motivated by the disinflation performance of many inflation …-targeting countries, in particular the gradual Chilean disinflation with temporary annual targets. At the start of the disinflation … adaptive learning lowers the cost of disinflation. This reduction can be exploited by a gradual approach to disinflation. Firms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298400
The real effects of an imperfectly credible disinflation depend critically on the extent of price rigidity. In this … paper, we examine how credibility affects the outcome of a disinflation in a model with endogenous time-dependent pricing … rules. Both the endogenous initial degree of price rigidity and changes in the duration of price spells during disinflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287055
We show that "zombie credit" - cheap credit to impaired firms - has a disinflationary effect. By helping distressed firms to stay afloat, such credit creates excess production capacity, thereby putting downward pressure on product prices. Granular European data on inflation, firms, and banks...
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Even when the policy rate is currently not constrained by its effective lower bound (ELB), the possibility that the policy rate will become constrained in the future lowers today's inflation by creating tail risk in future inflation and thus reducing expected inflation. In an empirically rich...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012182403